The strong Republican lean of Louisiana's 1st congressional district, which covers New Orleans suburbs and carries a solid Republican rating from forecasters, anchors trader consensus around a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader who won reelection with nearly 67 percent in 2024, has qualified for the Republican primary alongside challenger Randall Arrington, while Democrat Lauren Jewett represents the limited opposition. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index continue to shape expectations, with the primary on May 16, 2026, serving as the next procedural step. Late developments such as primary upsets, health issues, or national shifts could still alter the outcome before the general election resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Democrata
9%
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$16,094 Vol.
91%
Partido Democrata
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Louisiana's 1st congressional district, which covers New Orleans suburbs and carries a solid Republican rating from forecasters, anchors trader consensus around a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader who won reelection with nearly 67 percent in 2024, has qualified for the Republican primary alongside challenger Randall Arrington, while Democrat Lauren Jewett represents the limited opposition. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index continue to shape expectations, with the primary on May 16, 2026, serving as the next procedural step. Late developments such as primary upsets, health issues, or national shifts could still alter the outcome before the general election resolves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,589Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Louisiana's 1st congressional district, which covers New Orleans suburbs and carries a solid Republican rating from forecasters, anchors trader consensus around a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader who won reelection with nearly 67 percent in 2024, has qualified for the Republican primary alongside challenger Randall Arrington, while Democrat Lauren Jewett represents the limited opposition. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index continue to shape expectations, with the primary on May 16, 2026, serving as the next procedural step. Late developments such as primary upsets, health issues, or national shifts could still alter the outcome before the general election resolves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,589Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Louisiana's 1st congressional district, which covers New Orleans suburbs and carries a solid Republican rating from forecasters, anchors trader consensus around a Republican win in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader who won reelection with nearly 67 percent in 2024, has qualified for the Republican primary alongside challenger Randall Arrington, while Democrat Lauren Jewett represents the limited opposition. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index continue to shape expectations, with the primary on May 16, 2026, serving as the next procedural step. Late developments such as primary upsets, health issues, or national shifts could still alter the outcome before the general election resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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