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NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

LaMonica McIver

$76 Vol.

80%

Lawrence Poster

$74 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds the leading position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, bolstered by endorsements from all three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party. These institutional supports, combined with her established visibility on issues such as immigration enforcement and working-family priorities, have shaped trader consensus around her strong path to the June 2, 2026, nomination. Challenger Lawrence Poster, a 77-year-old executive search consultant, has drawn limited organized backing and focuses on middle-class messaging, leaving the contest largely uncontested in recent weeks. McIver's ongoing legal proceedings related to a May 2025 incident at an ICE facility introduce some uncertainty ahead of the primary, though no major developments have altered the current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$150
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds the leading position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, bolstered by endorsements from all three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party. These institutional supports, combined with her established visibility on issues such as immigration enforcement and working-family priorities, have shaped trader consensus around her strong path to the June 2, 2026, nomination. Challenger Lawrence Poster, a 77-year-old executive search consultant, has drawn limited organized backing and focuses on middle-class messaging, leaving the contest largely uncontested in recent weeks. McIver's ongoing legal proceedings related to a May 2025 incident at an ICE facility introduce some uncertainty ahead of the primary, though no major developments have altered the current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$150
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "LaMonica McIver" at 80%, followed by "Lawrence Poster" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "LaMonica McIver" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lawrence Poster" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.