Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a structural Republican advantage rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus for a GOP win at 73.5 percent. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Brandon Herrera emerged from the March 2026 primary to succeed retiring moderate Tony Gonzales, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her nomination outright. A March head-to-head poll showed Stout within striking distance at 40 percent to Herrera's 42 percent, yet the district's established tilt and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups continue to anchor probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-23
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-23
$27,423 Vol.
$27,423 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
74%
Partido Democrata
28%
$27,423 Vol.
$27,423 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,262 Vol.
74%
Partido Democrata
$12,161 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a structural Republican advantage rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus for a GOP win at 73.5 percent. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Brandon Herrera emerged from the March 2026 primary to succeed retiring moderate Tony Gonzales, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her nomination outright. A March head-to-head poll showed Stout within striking distance at 40 percent to Herrera's 42 percent, yet the district's established tilt and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups continue to anchor probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$27,423Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a structural Republican advantage rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus for a GOP win at 73.5 percent. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Brandon Herrera emerged from the March 2026 primary to succeed retiring moderate Tony Gonzales, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her nomination outright. A March head-to-head poll showed Stout within striking distance at 40 percent to Herrera's 42 percent, yet the district's established tilt and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups continue to anchor probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,423Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a structural Republican advantage rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus for a GOP win at 73.5 percent. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican. Republican nominee Brandon Herrera emerged from the March 2026 primary to succeed retiring moderate Tony Gonzales, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her nomination outright. A March head-to-head poll showed Stout within striking distance at 40 percent to Herrera's 42 percent, yet the district's established tilt and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups continue to anchor probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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