Republican Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination for TX-23 after tying incumbent Tony Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary and forcing his withdrawal days later amid an ethics probe over an admitted affair with a staffer, in this R+7 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Traders imply 65.5% GOP odds reflecting the district's historical Republican margins—62% in 2024, 56% in 2022—Herrera's base mobilization despite low cash-on-hand, and national incentives to defend the slim 218-214 House majority. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright at 52%, but lacks polls showing viability; Democratic groups eye a flip from GOP infighting, with the November 3 general seven months away.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-23
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-23
$11,460 Vol.
$11,460 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
66%
Partido Democrata
34%
$11,460 Vol.
$11,460 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,525 Vol.
66%
Partido Democrata
$3,936 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination for TX-23 after tying incumbent Tony Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary and forcing his withdrawal days later amid an ethics probe over an admitted affair with a staffer, in this R+7 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Traders imply 65.5% GOP odds reflecting the district's historical Republican margins—62% in 2024, 56% in 2022—Herrera's base mobilization despite low cash-on-hand, and national incentives to defend the slim 218-214 House majority. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright at 52%, but lacks polls showing viability; Democratic groups eye a flip from GOP infighting, with the November 3 general seven months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,460Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination for TX-23 after tying incumbent Tony Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary and forcing his withdrawal days later amid an ethics probe over an admitted affair with a staffer, in this R+7 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Traders imply 65.5% GOP odds reflecting the district's historical Republican margins—62% in 2024, 56% in 2022—Herrera's base mobilization despite low cash-on-hand, and national incentives to defend the slim 218-214 House majority. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright at 52%, but lacks polls showing viability; Democratic groups eye a flip from GOP infighting, with the November 3 general seven months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,460Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination for TX-23 after tying incumbent Tony Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary and forcing his withdrawal days later amid an ethics probe over an admitted affair with a staffer, in this R+7 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Traders imply 65.5% GOP odds reflecting the district's historical Republican margins—62% in 2024, 56% in 2022—Herrera's base mobilization despite low cash-on-hand, and national incentives to defend the slim 218-214 House majority. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright at 52%, but lacks polls showing viability; Democratic groups eye a flip from GOP infighting, with the November 3 general seven months away.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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