Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and structural advantages. The district covers rural West Tennessee and eastern Memphis suburbs with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, and Kustoff won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin while running unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, the outgoing Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk who won her party's August primary, faces a steep path in a district where Republicans have maintained strong support. Multiple independents appear on the November 3 ballot but show limited viability. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Republican dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-08
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-08
$35,692 Vol.
$35,692 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Kustoff (R)
94%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
6%
$35,692 Vol.
$35,692 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Kustoff (R)
$22,714 Vol.
94%
Heidi Kuhn (D)
$12,979 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and structural advantages. The district covers rural West Tennessee and eastern Memphis suburbs with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, and Kustoff won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin while running unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, the outgoing Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk who won her party's August primary, faces a steep path in a district where Republicans have maintained strong support. Multiple independents appear on the November 3 ballot but show limited viability. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Republican dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$35,692Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and structural advantages. The district covers rural West Tennessee and eastern Memphis suburbs with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, and Kustoff won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin while running unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, the outgoing Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk who won her party's August primary, faces a steep path in a district where Republicans have maintained strong support. Multiple independents appear on the November 3 ballot but show limited viability. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Republican dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,692Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and structural advantages. The district covers rural West Tennessee and eastern Memphis suburbs with a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, and Kustoff won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin while running unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, the outgoing Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk who won her party's August primary, faces a steep path in a district where Republicans have maintained strong support. Multiple independents appear on the November 3 ballot but show limited viability. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Republican dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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