Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 House race, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus, due to the district's consistent Republican tilt with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and his strong 2024 performance of 64.5%. Carter, serving since 2003 and focused on appropriations for local infrastructure and military needs, secured his primary nomination with nearly 60% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Justin Early, who won his March 2026 primary, faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by double digits. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-31
$45,635 Vol.
$45,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Carter (R)
94%
Justin Early (D)
7%
$45,635 Vol.
$45,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Carter (R)
$24,919 Vol.
94%
Justin Early (D)
$20,716 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 House race, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus, due to the district's consistent Republican tilt with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and his strong 2024 performance of 64.5%. Carter, serving since 2003 and focused on appropriations for local infrastructure and military needs, secured his primary nomination with nearly 60% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Justin Early, who won his March 2026 primary, faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by double digits. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,635Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 House race, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus, due to the district's consistent Republican tilt with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and his strong 2024 performance of 64.5%. Carter, serving since 2003 and focused on appropriations for local infrastructure and military needs, secured his primary nomination with nearly 60% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Justin Early, who won his March 2026 primary, faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by double digits. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,635Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 House race, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus, due to the district's consistent Republican tilt with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and his strong 2024 performance of 64.5%. Carter, serving since 2003 and focused on appropriations for local infrastructure and military needs, secured his primary nomination with nearly 60% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democrat Justin Early, who won his March 2026 primary, faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Republicans by double digits. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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