Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 70% margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general with no competitive Republican challenger on the ballot. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Hampton Roads area. While late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's consistent partisan composition and lack of recent competitive dynamics make significant movement improbable before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 70% margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general with no competitive Republican challenger on the ballot. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Hampton Roads area. While late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or national political shift could theoretically alter the race, the district's consistent partisan composition and lack of recent competitive dynamics make significant movement improbable before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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