The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993 and secured 70% in the prior cycle against limited opposition, with the August Democratic primary featuring only minor challengers. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling in May voided the April voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting, preserving current boundaries that favor Democrats. The general election remains scheduled for November 3. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican entrant could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility absent major national shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$20,076 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993 and secured 70% in the prior cycle against limited opposition, with the August Democratic primary featuring only minor challengers. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling in May voided the April voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting, preserving current boundaries that favor Democrats. The general election remains scheduled for November 3. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican entrant could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility absent major national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,433Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993 and secured 70% in the prior cycle against limited opposition, with the August Democratic primary featuring only minor challengers. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling in May voided the April voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting, preserving current boundaries that favor Democrats. The general election remains scheduled for November 3. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican entrant could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility absent major national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,433Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993 and secured 70% in the prior cycle against limited opposition, with the August Democratic primary featuring only minor challengers. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling in May voided the April voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting, preserving current boundaries that favor Democrats. The general election remains scheduled for November 3. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican entrant could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts show limited volatility absent major national shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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