Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics centered on Hampton Roads, producing consistent Democratic majorities. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee has recorded minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of polling or campaign data indicating a competitive contest. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
3%
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,571 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$41,664 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics centered on Hampton Roads, producing consistent Democratic majorities. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee has recorded minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of polling or campaign data indicating a competitive contest. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics centered on Hampton Roads, producing consistent Democratic majorities. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee has recorded minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of polling or campaign data indicating a competitive contest. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district features a D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban demographics centered on Hampton Roads, producing consistent Democratic majorities. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won 70 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee has recorded minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of polling or campaign data indicating a competitive contest. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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