South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, 2026, but the district's voting patterns and fundraising edge for Republicans have anchored trader consensus on a GOP general election victory in November. Democratic candidates are competing in their June primary, yet the seat's structural advantages and lack of recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep their implied probabilities lower. The upcoming primary outcomes and any late developments before the general election remain the primary variables that could influence positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-02 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-02 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$31,693 Vol.
$31,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
80%
Partido Democrata
17%
$31,693 Vol.
$31,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,470 Vol.
80%
Partido Democrata
$21,223 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, 2026, but the district's voting patterns and fundraising edge for Republicans have anchored trader consensus on a GOP general election victory in November. Democratic candidates are competing in their June primary, yet the seat's structural advantages and lack of recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep their implied probabilities lower. The upcoming primary outcomes and any late developments before the general election remain the primary variables that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$31,693Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, 2026, but the district's voting patterns and fundraising edge for Republicans have anchored trader consensus on a GOP general election victory in November. Democratic candidates are competing in their June primary, yet the seat's structural advantages and lack of recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep their implied probabilities lower. The upcoming primary outcomes and any late developments before the general election remain the primary variables that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,693Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, 2026, but the district's voting patterns and fundraising edge for Republicans have anchored trader consensus on a GOP general election victory in November. Democratic candidates are competing in their June primary, yet the seat's structural advantages and lack of recent shifts in polling or endorsements keep their implied probabilities lower. The upcoming primary outcomes and any late developments before the general election remain the primary variables that could influence positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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