Skip to main content
icon for MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática
Eleições·Primárias

MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática

icon for MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática
Eleições·Primárias

MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática

$10,166 Vol.

Polymarket

$10,166 Vol.

Wesley Bell

$5,392 Vol.

65%

Cori Bush

$4,773 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% to unseat challenger Cori Bush's 30.5% in the MO-01 Democratic primary rematch, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand as of late April—and 2024 primary victory despite heavy outside spending against him. A February HIT Strategies poll commissioned by Bush's campaign showed a statistical tie at 44%-40% among likely Democratic primary voters, with Bush holding higher favorability, yet markets favor Bell's resources and record. Recent controversy arose at the first candidate forum around May 3, where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate amid scheduling conflicts. The August 4 primary looms as key battleground voters weigh local priorities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,166
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 66.5% to unseat challenger Cori Bush's 30.5% in the MO-01 Democratic primary rematch, reflecting his incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—holding roughly 10 times more cash on hand as of late April—and 2024 primary victory despite heavy outside spending against him. A February HIT Strategies poll commissioned by Bush's campaign showed a statistical tie at 44%-40% among likely Democratic primary voters, with Bush holding higher favorability, yet markets favor Bell's resources and record. Recent controversy arose at the first candidate forum around May 3, where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate amid scheduling conflicts. The August 4 primary looms as key battleground voters weigh local priorities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,166
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wesley Bell" at 65%, followed by "Cori Bush" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática" is "Wesley Bell" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cori Bush" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MO-01 Vencedor da Primária Democrática" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.