Tennessee’s redrawn 9th Congressional District, finalized in May 2026, prompted longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the Democratic primary just before the filing deadline. This development has elevated state Representative Justin Pearson as the clear frontrunner, backed by substantial fundraising, endorsements from progressive organizations such as Justice Democrats, and early polling momentum among Memphis-area voters. DeVante Hill and other challengers trail with more limited visibility and resources. With the August 6 primary approaching, traders view Pearson’s path to the nomination as strengthened by the open-seat dynamic and the district’s core urban Democratic electorate, while the low odds on Cohen reflect his confirmed exit from the contest.