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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York

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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York

$47,479 Vol.

Polymarket

$47,479 Vol.

Market icon

Kathy Hochul

$37,850 Vol.

94%

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Antonio Delgado

$9,629 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's 94% implied probability in the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path amid Hochul's avalanche of endorsements and commanding early polling leads like 64%-11% among Democrats. With no other prominent challengers emerging during the ongoing designating petition period and the June 23 primary approaching, trader consensus via Polymarket's skin-in-the-game pricing underscores her renomination dominance, bolstered by February polls showing her record-high 49%-40% favorability. Late-breaking scenarios—a credible last-minute entrant meeting signature thresholds, scandal, or health issues—could shift odds, though structural incumbency advantages persist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$47,479
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's 94% implied probability in the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path amid Hochul's avalanche of endorsements and commanding early polling leads like 64%-11% among Democrats. With no other prominent challengers emerging during the ongoing designating petition period and the June 23 primary approaching, trader consensus via Polymarket's skin-in-the-game pricing underscores her renomination dominance, bolstered by February polls showing her record-high 49%-40% favorability. Late-breaking scenarios—a credible last-minute entrant meeting signature thresholds, scandal, or health issues—could shift odds, though structural incumbency advantages persist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$47,479
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kathy Hochul" at 94%, followed by "Antonio Delgado" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York" has generated $47.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York" is "Kathy Hochul" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonio Delgado" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Primária do Governador Democrata de Nova York" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.