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Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Market icon

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 21%

Treg Taylor 16.3%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$739,951 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 21%

Treg Taylor 16.3%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$739,951 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$95,126 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$130,007 Vol.

21%

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Treg Taylor

$3,383 Vol.

16%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$480 Vol.

13%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,220 Vol.

11%

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Click Bishop

$2,444 Vol.

6%

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David Bronson

$2,298 Vol.

4%

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Mary Peltola

$319,939 Vol.

3%

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Bruce Walden

$388 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,836 Vol.

2%

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Edna DeVries

$2,613 Vol.

1%

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Shelley Hughes

$2,928 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,759 Vol.

1%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,529 Vol.

1%

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Hank Kroll

$300 Vol.

<1%

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Matt Claman

$153 Vol.

<1%

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James Parkin

$23,551 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy out, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a fragmented field of 18 candidates, mostly Republicans, fueling trader consensus on a tight top-four nonpartisan primary August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general election voting. Tom Begich leads at 24.5% implied probability after consolidating Democrats, aligning with February Lake Research Partners polling showing him at 22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds, while Bernadette Wilson (20.5%), Treg Taylor (16.3%), and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (12.5%) trail in a GOP vote split. A March 30 Mat-Su forum spotlighted contrasts on resource development, education, and veterans issues among seven participants, including the top four, but no breakout momentum emerged. Consolidation before June 1 filing deadline, endorsements, or fresh polls could create separation in this chaotic contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$739,951
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy out, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a fragmented field of 18 candidates, mostly Republicans, fueling trader consensus on a tight top-four nonpartisan primary August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general election voting. Tom Begich leads at 24.5% implied probability after consolidating Democrats, aligning with February Lake Research Partners polling showing him at 22% first-round support amid 23% undecideds, while Bernadette Wilson (20.5%), Treg Taylor (16.3%), and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (12.5%) trail in a GOP vote split. A March 30 Mat-Su forum spotlighted contrasts on resource development, education, and veterans issues among seven participants, including the top four, but no breakout momentum emerged. Consolidation before June 1 filing deadline, endorsements, or fresh polls could create separation in this chaotic contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$739,951
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " has generated $740K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.