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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08
Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08

Hakeem Jeffries 93.4%

Vance Bostic 10.5%

Chi Ossé <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Hakeem Jeffries 93.4%

Vance Bostic 10.5%

Chi Ossé <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$6,535 Vol.

93%

icon for Vance Bostic

Vance Bostic

$634 Vol.

11%

icon for Chi Ossé

Chi Ossé

$330 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent House Minority Leader representing NY-08 since 2013, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.4% implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary, driven by his unmatched fundraising dominance, party leadership stature, and historical primary blowouts with minimal opposition. Challengers Vance Bostic and Chi Ossé, a progressive New York City Council member, have filed petitions but show negligible momentum, lacking polls or endorsements to suggest viability in the deep-blue Brooklyn-Queens district. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Jeffries' position. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surprise progressive turnout surge, though traders price these as remote risks ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,499
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent House Minority Leader representing NY-08 since 2013, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93.4% implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary, driven by his unmatched fundraising dominance, party leadership stature, and historical primary blowouts with minimal opposition. Challengers Vance Bostic and Chi Ossé, a progressive New York City Council member, have filed petitions but show negligible momentum, lacking polls or endorsements to suggest viability in the deep-blue Brooklyn-Queens district. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to erode Jeffries' position. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a surprise progressive turnout surge, though traders price these as remote risks ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,499
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 93%, followed by "Vance Bostic" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vance Bostic" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.