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Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08

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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08

Hakeem Jeffries 94%

Vance Bostic 4.0%

Chi Ossé 3.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Hakeem Jeffries 94%

Vance Bostic 4.0%

Chi Ossé 3.7%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

Hakeem Jeffries

$4,023 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Vance Bostic

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Chi Ossé

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries commands 93.5% trader consensus in the NY-08 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched advantages in the safely Democratic Brooklyn district, including superior fundraising, overwhelming name recognition, and party establishment support. A private October 2025 poll showed him leading challenger Chi Ossé by 50 points, with no subsequent surveys indicating erosion. Progressive NYC Councilmember Ossé and working-class candidate Vance Bostic, who filed amid criticism of Democratic leadership failures post-2024, trail at low probabilities due to limited resources and organization. The June 23 closed primary looms, but traders price scant upset potential barring a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous progressive turnout surge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,023
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries commands 93.5% trader consensus in the NY-08 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched advantages in the safely Democratic Brooklyn district, including superior fundraising, overwhelming name recognition, and party establishment support. A private October 2025 poll showed him leading challenger Chi Ossé by 50 points, with no subsequent surveys indicating erosion. Progressive NYC Councilmember Ossé and working-class candidate Vance Bostic, who filed amid criticism of Democratic leadership failures post-2024, trail at low probabilities due to limited resources and organization. The June 23 closed primary looms, but traders price scant upset potential barring a late scandal, health issue, or anomalous progressive turnout surge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,023
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 94%, followed by "Vance Bostic" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vance Bostic" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-08" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.