CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Name: CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Start: 2026-04-16T17:53:28.812Z
End: 2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Câmara Dos Representantes

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 90%

Rakhi Israni Singh 3.8%

Matt Ortega 3.6%

Carin Elam 2.8%

NOVO

18 ago 2026

Aisha Wahab

$429 Vol.

90%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Vol.

Wendy Huang

$165 Vol.

Carin Elam

$210 Vol.

Matt Ortega

$183 Vol.

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Vol.

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Vol.

Aisha Wahab 90%

Rakhi Israni Singh 3.8%

Matt Ortega 3.6%

Carin Elam 2.8%

NOVO

18 ago 2026

Aisha Wahab

$429 Vol.

90%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Vol.

Wendy Huang

$165 Vol.

Carin Elam

$210 Vol.

Matt Ortega

$183 Vol.

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Vol.

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Vol.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aisha Wahab" at 90%, followed by "Matt Ortega" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-14 Special Election Winner?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" is "Aisha Wahab" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matt Ortega" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "CA-14 Special Election Winner?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “CA-14 Special Election Winner?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "CA-14 Special Election Winner?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 90¢ for "Aisha Wahab" in the "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 90% chance that "Aisha Wahab" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 90¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 10¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "CA-14 Special Election Winner?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "CA-14 Special Election Winner?"?

What are the current odds for "CA-14 Special Election Winner?"?

How will "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" be resolved?

Can I follow "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "CA-14 Special Election Winner?"?

What does a price of 90¢ for "Aisha Wahab" mean?

When does the "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" market close?

What are traders saying about "CA-14 Special Election Winner?"?

What is Polymarket?