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Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul

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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul

Lindsey Graham 85%

Paul Dans 8%

Mark Lynch 5.2%

Thomas Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$50,736 Vol.

Lindsey Graham 85%

Paul Dans 8%

Mark Lynch 5.2%

Thomas Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$50,736 Vol.

Lindsey Graham

$24,815 Vol.

85%

Paul Dans

$16,502 Vol.

8%

Mark Lynch

$4,984 Vol.

5%

Thomas Murphy

$4,435 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham holds a commanding trader consensus at 84.5% to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, driven by his fundraising dominance—over $19 million raised—and historical incumbency advantages in deep-red primaries, where challengers rarely prevail without unified opposition. Recent polls, including a March New York Times aggregation of six surveys, affirm Graham's lead despite unfavorable ratings around 61% in one statewide sample and criticism over foreign policy stances like Iran support. Project 2025 architect Paul Dans (7.5%) and businessman Mark Lynch (5.6%) split the anti-Graham vote with aggressive ads and events, but Graham's latest rebuke of antisemitic staffer posts on their campaigns may blunt momentum. A runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, yet traders price low upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$50,736
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham holds a commanding trader consensus at 84.5% to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, driven by his fundraising dominance—over $19 million raised—and historical incumbency advantages in deep-red primaries, where challengers rarely prevail without unified opposition. Recent polls, including a March New York Times aggregation of six surveys, affirm Graham's lead despite unfavorable ratings around 61% in one statewide sample and criticism over foreign policy stances like Iran support. Project 2025 architect Paul Dans (7.5%) and businessman Mark Lynch (5.6%) split the anti-Graham vote with aggressive ads and events, but Graham's latest rebuke of antisemitic staffer posts on their campaigns may blunt momentum. A runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%, yet traders price low upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$50,736
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lindsey Graham" at 85%, followed by "Paul Dans" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" has generated $50.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" is "Lindsey Graham" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Dans" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.