Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by an R+8 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current odds. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic primary contenders such as Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt by 4–10 points, while the Democratic field remains fragmented ahead of the August primary. No high-profile challenger has emerged to alter the trajectory, and the absence of major recent developments has kept probabilities stable. The November general election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes or national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$28,421 Vol.
$28,421 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
80%
Democrata
18%
$28,421 Vol.
$28,421 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$17,061 Vol.
80%
Democrata
$11,360 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by an R+8 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current odds. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic primary contenders such as Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt by 4–10 points, while the Democratic field remains fragmented ahead of the August primary. No high-profile challenger has emerged to alter the trajectory, and the absence of major recent developments has kept probabilities stable. The November general election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$28,421Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by an R+8 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current odds. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic primary contenders such as Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt by 4–10 points, while the Democratic field remains fragmented ahead of the August primary. No high-profile challenger has emerged to alter the trajectory, and the absence of major recent developments has kept probabilities stable. The November general election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$28,421Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by an R+8 partisan voting index and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current odds. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic primary contenders such as Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt by 4–10 points, while the Democratic field remains fragmented ahead of the August primary. No high-profile challenger has emerged to alter the trajectory, and the absence of major recent developments has kept probabilities stable. The November general election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes or national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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