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icon for Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Geopolítica·Putin

Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Geopolítica·Putin

Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

jun 30

dez 31

jun 30

dez 31

Sim

12% chance
Polymarket

$4,270,274 Vol.

Sim

12% chance
Polymarket

$4,270,274 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his constitutionally secured six-year term until 2030, following 2020 amendments and his unchallenged 2024 reelection amid suppressed opposition. No verified official announcements, health declines, or elite power shifts have emerged to challenge his control over the Kremlin, security apparatus, and United Russia party. Persistent but unsubstantiated rumors—such as March 2026 coughing footage quickly removed by state media and late-April speculation of a two-week public absence tied to alleged Kremlin infighting or "Operation Twilight" elite maneuvers—have marginally lifted "Yes" odds without primary-source confirmation, underscoring traders' skepticism toward unproven claims in a tightly controlled authoritarian system. Late-breaking diplomatic setbacks, verified health events, or military reversals in Ukraine could still shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his constitutionally secured six-year term until 2030, following 2020 amendments and his unchallenged 2024 reelection amid suppressed opposition. No verified official announcements, health declines, or elite power shifts have emerged to challenge his control over the Kremlin, security apparatus, and United Russia party. Persistent but unsubstantiated rumors—such as March 2026 coughing footage quickly removed by state media and late-April speculation of a two-week public absence tied to alleged Kremlin infighting or "Operation Twilight" elite maneuvers—have marginally lifted "Yes" odds without primary-source confirmation, underscoring traders' skepticism toward unproven claims in a tightly controlled authoritarian system. Late-breaking diplomatic setbacks, verified health events, or military reversals in Ukraine could still shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Putin fora da presidência da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $4.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Putin fora da presidência da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.