Vladimir Putin's constitutionally reset term as Russian president, extending through 2030 following 2020 amendments and his March 2024 reelection, drives trader consensus implying 89.5% probability he remains in office beyond December 2026. Recent diplomatic actions—including an April 3 ultimatum to Armenia over EU alignment and proposals for a Russia-Egypt grain-energy hub—underscore his firm control and public visibility. Unverified health rumors sparked by a mid-March leaked video of coughing were swiftly downplayed by the Kremlin, with no confirmed incapacity or succession signals. Suppressed opposition, elite loyalty, and security apparatus pose major barriers to early resignation, removal, or other exit scenarios, absent late-breaking developments like health crises or internal coups.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPutin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Putin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$3,400,302 Vol.
$3,400,302 Vol.
Sim
$3,400,302 Vol.
$3,400,302 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's constitutionally reset term as Russian president, extending through 2030 following 2020 amendments and his March 2024 reelection, drives trader consensus implying 89.5% probability he remains in office beyond December 2026. Recent diplomatic actions—including an April 3 ultimatum to Armenia over EU alignment and proposals for a Russia-Egypt grain-energy hub—underscore his firm control and public visibility. Unverified health rumors sparked by a mid-March leaked video of coughing were swiftly downplayed by the Kremlin, with no confirmed incapacity or succession signals. Suppressed opposition, elite loyalty, and security apparatus pose major barriers to early resignation, removal, or other exit scenarios, absent late-breaking developments like health crises or internal coups.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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