Putin's constitutional amendments, ratified in 2020 and upheld since his 2024 reelection, extend legal eligibility through 2036, removing term-limit barriers and supporting trader expectations of continuity through December 2026. Recent public activities, including the December 2025 year-end press conference and New Year address, demonstrate ongoing leadership without signals of transition or designated successor. Elite balancing, institutional control, and absence of viable challengers or health-driven departures reinforce regime stability amid the Ukraine conflict. While sudden incapacity or elite fractures could still alter outcomes, current positioning favors no change at the implied 88.5 percent probability for remaining in office.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPutin como presidente da Rússia até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Sim
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin's constitutional amendments, ratified in 2020 and upheld since his 2024 reelection, extend legal eligibility through 2036, removing term-limit barriers and supporting trader expectations of continuity through December 2026. Recent public activities, including the December 2025 year-end press conference and New Year address, demonstrate ongoing leadership without signals of transition or designated successor. Elite balancing, institutional control, and absence of viable challengers or health-driven departures reinforce regime stability amid the Ukraine conflict. While sudden incapacity or elite fractures could still alter outcomes, current positioning favors no change at the implied 88.5 percent probability for remaining in office.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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