Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 14% likelihood, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid Russia's spring offensive launched in late March 2026, which has intensified frontline fighting without de-escalation signals. Despite President Zelensky's February statements backing U.S. peace proposals—including potential referendums post-ceasefire—and reports of planned spring votes under wartime conditions, negotiations faltered over territorial demands, with Moscow issuing a two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum as recently as March 31. Ukraine insists on a prior ceasefire and six months' stability for fair voting, while NGOs deemed the idea unlawful; no legislative changes have passed, and ongoing military actions underscore significant barriers to resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO referendo de paz na Ucrânia foi aprovado antes de 2027?
O referendo de paz na Ucrânia foi aprovado antes de 2027?
Sim
Sim
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027 at just 14% likelihood, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid Russia's spring offensive launched in late March 2026, which has intensified frontline fighting without de-escalation signals. Despite President Zelensky's February statements backing U.S. peace proposals—including potential referendums post-ceasefire—and reports of planned spring votes under wartime conditions, negotiations faltered over territorial demands, with Moscow issuing a two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum as recently as March 31. Ukraine insists on a prior ceasefire and six months' stability for fair voting, while NGOs deemed the idea unlawful; no legislative changes have passed, and ongoing military actions underscore significant barriers to resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions