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icon for País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

icon for País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?

$461,898 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$461,898 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$64,764 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**European planning for a multinational reassurance force in Ukraine centers on the Coalition of the Willing, led by France and the UK, with a letter of intent signed in January 2026 and UK command of a Kyiv headquarters established by July.** The proposed Multinational Force Ukraine (MNF-U) would support post-ceasefire tasks including force regeneration, air and sea security, and training, with Macron citing commitments from 26 states in recent statements and outlining operations in cities such as Odesa and Kyiv after any peace deal. Deployment remains explicitly conditional on a credible cessation of hostilities, which has not occurred. Russia has repeatedly rejected the concept, with Putin warning that European troops would constitute an act of war. Divergent views among allies, continued focus on military aid packages rather than ground commitments, and the absence of a diplomatic framework keep formal announcements of troop deployments by individual EU or NATO members unlikely in the near term. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and geopolitical constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$461,898
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**European planning for a multinational reassurance force in Ukraine centers on the Coalition of the Willing, led by France and the UK, with a letter of intent signed in January 2026 and UK command of a Kyiv headquarters established by July.** The proposed Multinational Force Ukraine (MNF-U) would support post-ceasefire tasks including force regeneration, air and sea security, and training, with Macron citing commitments from 26 states in recent statements and outlining operations in cities such as Odesa and Kyiv after any peace deal. Deployment remains explicitly conditional on a credible cessation of hostilities, which has not occurred. Russia has repeatedly rejected the concept, with Putin warning that European troops would constitute an act of war. Divergent views among allies, continued focus on military aid packages rather than ground commitments, and the absence of a diplomatic framework keep formal announcements of troop deployments by individual EU or NATO members unlikely in the near term. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and geopolitical constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$461,898
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 4%, followed by "30 de junho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" has generated $461.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at just 4%, with "30 de junho" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "País da UE/OTAN anuncia força de paz na Ucrânia até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.