Farsi Island serves as a modest Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval outpost in the Persian Gulf with limited strategic significance relative to larger facilities near the Strait of Hormuz. Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities have produced targeted strikes on other Iranian-held islands such as Qeshm, Kharg, Greater Tunb, and Larak to disrupt missile and naval capabilities, yet no confirmed operations or territorial shifts have affected Farsi. Iranian officials continue to assert sovereignty over disputed Gulf islands while managing restricted zones and naval posturing amid the blockade and ceasefire dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this absence of direct pressure or escalation plans specific to Farsi, with low implied probabilities of control changing hands by late 2026 absent major new military developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Ilha Farsi não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?
A Ilha Farsi não está mais sob o controle iraniano por...?
$197,515 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
1%
$197,515 Vol.
30 de setembro
$20,245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island serves as a modest Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval outpost in the Persian Gulf with limited strategic significance relative to larger facilities near the Strait of Hormuz. Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities have produced targeted strikes on other Iranian-held islands such as Qeshm, Kharg, Greater Tunb, and Larak to disrupt missile and naval capabilities, yet no confirmed operations or territorial shifts have affected Farsi. Iranian officials continue to assert sovereignty over disputed Gulf islands while managing restricted zones and naval posturing amid the blockade and ceasefire dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this absence of direct pressure or escalation plans specific to Farsi, with low implied probabilities of control changing hands by late 2026 absent major new military developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$197,515Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island serves as a modest Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval outpost in the Persian Gulf with limited strategic significance relative to larger facilities near the Strait of Hormuz. Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities have produced targeted strikes on other Iranian-held islands such as Qeshm, Kharg, Greater Tunb, and Larak to disrupt missile and naval capabilities, yet no confirmed operations or territorial shifts have affected Farsi. Iranian officials continue to assert sovereignty over disputed Gulf islands while managing restricted zones and naval posturing amid the blockade and ceasefire dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this absence of direct pressure or escalation plans specific to Farsi, with low implied probabilities of control changing hands by late 2026 absent major new military developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$197,515Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Farsi Island serves as a modest Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval outpost in the Persian Gulf with limited strategic significance relative to larger facilities near the Strait of Hormuz. Ongoing U.S.-Iran hostilities have produced targeted strikes on other Iranian-held islands such as Qeshm, Kharg, Greater Tunb, and Larak to disrupt missile and naval capabilities, yet no confirmed operations or territorial shifts have affected Farsi. Iranian officials continue to assert sovereignty over disputed Gulf islands while managing restricted zones and naval posturing amid the blockade and ceasefire dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this absence of direct pressure or escalation plans specific to Farsi, with low implied probabilities of control changing hands by late 2026 absent major new military developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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