Swedish climate and pro-Palestinian activist Greta Thunberg has a track record of arrests during direct-action protests, most recently detained in London on December 23, 2025, under the Terrorism Act for supporting hunger-striking members of Palestine Action, though quickly released. Her ongoing vocal criticism of policies on Gaza—as in her March 12, 2026, social media post accusing the US of collective punishment—signals sustained high-risk activism amid global tensions. With no lull in her involvement in Fridays for Future strikes or solidarity demonstrations, traders reflect a 56.5% implied probability for another arrest by June 30 via skin-in-the-game consensus, balancing her history against potential de-escalation or legal caution, with summer climate events or escalations as pivotal catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$44,365 Vol.
$44,365 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$44,365 Vol.
$44,365 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Swedish climate and pro-Palestinian activist Greta Thunberg has a track record of arrests during direct-action protests, most recently detained in London on December 23, 2025, under the Terrorism Act for supporting hunger-striking members of Palestine Action, though quickly released. Her ongoing vocal criticism of policies on Gaza—as in her March 12, 2026, social media post accusing the US of collective punishment—signals sustained high-risk activism amid global tensions. With no lull in her involvement in Fridays for Future strikes or solidarity demonstrations, traders reflect a 56.5% implied probability for another arrest by June 30 via skin-in-the-game consensus, balancing her history against potential de-escalation or legal caution, with summer climate events or escalations as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$44,365Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Swedish climate and pro-Palestinian activist Greta Thunberg has a track record of arrests during direct-action protests, most recently detained in London on December 23, 2025, under the Terrorism Act for supporting hunger-striking members of Palestine Action, though quickly released. Her ongoing vocal criticism of policies on Gaza—as in her March 12, 2026, social media post accusing the US of collective punishment—signals sustained high-risk activism amid global tensions. With no lull in her involvement in Fridays for Future strikes or solidarity demonstrations, traders reflect a 56.5% implied probability for another arrest by June 30 via skin-in-the-game consensus, balancing her history against potential de-escalation or legal caution, with summer climate events or escalations as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,365Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Swedish climate and pro-Palestinian activist Greta Thunberg has a track record of arrests during direct-action protests, most recently detained in London on December 23, 2025, under the Terrorism Act for supporting hunger-striking members of Palestine Action, though quickly released. Her ongoing vocal criticism of policies on Gaza—as in her March 12, 2026, social media post accusing the US of collective punishment—signals sustained high-risk activism amid global tensions. With no lull in her involvement in Fridays for Future strikes or solidarity demonstrations, traders reflect a 56.5% implied probability for another arrest by June 30 via skin-in-the-game consensus, balancing her history against potential de-escalation or legal caution, with summer climate events or escalations as pivotal catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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