Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.2% on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official government plans, legislative action, or cabinet approval for such a move amid ongoing military operations focused on security control rather than sovereignty extension. In late March, far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich called for annexing limited Gaza areas up to a potential armistice line with Hamas, but this individual rhetoric lacks broader support and has prompted no policy shifts. Structural barriers—Gaza's 2 million Palestinian population, potential international sanctions, UN opposition, and historical 2005 disengagement—reinforce high confidence in non-annexation. Realistic shifts could arise from a major escalation enabling emergency Knesset legislation or diplomatic breakthroughs altering territorial status, though the three-month timeline limits feasibility.