Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Paramount at 76.5% implied probability to close the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, driven by the definitive $110 billion merger agreement announced February 27, 2026, after Paramount Skydance outbid Netflix with a superior offer deemed best by the WBD board. Shareholder approval is scheduled for April 23, with both companies' boards unanimously recommending the deal and targeting a Q3 2026 close, bolstered by projected $6 billion in cost synergies and FCC comments calling it a "cleaner" transaction than alternatives. The 21% "None by June 30, 2027" reflects rising antitrust scrutiny, including recent DOJ subpoenas and California regulators' pushback over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and sports rights, while Netflix and Comcast odds have plummeted post-bidding war.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoParamount 77%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 21%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,017 Vol.
$972,017 Vol.
Paramount
77%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027
21%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Paramount 77%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 21%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,017 Vol.
$972,017 Vol.
Paramount
77%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027
21%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Paramount at 76.5% implied probability to close the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, driven by the definitive $110 billion merger agreement announced February 27, 2026, after Paramount Skydance outbid Netflix with a superior offer deemed best by the WBD board. Shareholder approval is scheduled for April 23, with both companies' boards unanimously recommending the deal and targeting a Q3 2026 close, bolstered by projected $6 billion in cost synergies and FCC comments calling it a "cleaner" transaction than alternatives. The 21% "None by June 30, 2027" reflects rising antitrust scrutiny, including recent DOJ subpoenas and California regulators' pushback over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and sports rights, while Netflix and Comcast odds have plummeted post-bidding war.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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