Paramount Skydance's definitive merger agreement with Warner Bros. Discovery, signed February 27 at $31 per share valuing the deal at $110 billion enterprise, positions it as the overwhelming trader favorite at 79.5% implied probability, following Netflix's withdrawal from the bidding war after declining to raise its offer on February 26. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23 to approve the transaction, a key procedural step amid ongoing antitrust scrutiny from regulators like the DOJ and FTC, which fuels the 16% odds on no closure by June 30, 2027. Netflix and Comcast trail at negligible levels after exiting contention, with market resolution hinging on approvals and no superior bids emerging.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoParamount 80%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 16%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,577 Vol.
$972,577 Vol.
Paramount
80%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027
16%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Paramount 80%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 16%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,577 Vol.
$972,577 Vol.
Paramount
80%
Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027
16%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paramount Skydance's definitive merger agreement with Warner Bros. Discovery, signed February 27 at $31 per share valuing the deal at $110 billion enterprise, positions it as the overwhelming trader favorite at 79.5% implied probability, following Netflix's withdrawal from the bidding war after declining to raise its offer on February 26. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23 to approve the transaction, a key procedural step amid ongoing antitrust scrutiny from regulators like the DOJ and FTC, which fuels the 16% odds on no closure by June 30, 2027. Netflix and Comcast trail at negligible levels after exiting contention, with market resolution hinging on approvals and no superior bids emerging.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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