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Tecnologia·IPO

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)

Market icon
Tecnologia·IPO

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)

Acima de 2,0T 49%

1,8T–2,0T 21%

1,6T–1,8T 10.9%

1,4T–1,6T 5.3%

Polymarket

$667,557 Vol.

Acima de 2,0T 49%

1,8T–2,0T 21%

1,6T–1,8T 10.9%

1,4T–1,6T 5.3%

Polymarket

$667,557 Vol.

Sem IPO antes de 2028

$141,408 Vol.

4%

<1,0T

$41,891 Vol.

2%

1,0T–1,2T

$28,395 Vol.

3%

1,2T–1,4T

$49,055 Vol.

3%

1,4T–1,6T

$97,489 Vol.

5%

1,6T–1,8T

$93,435 Vol.

11%

1,8T–2,0T

$71,845 Vol.

21%

Acima de 2,0T

$144,040 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting an initial $1.75 trillion valuation and swiftly boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports yesterday, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's surging satellite internet subscriber growth to over 5 million and Starship's repeated orbital test successes enabling reusable launch cost reductions. The 1.8T–2.0T bin at 21% captures prior $1.75T expectations from March analyst briefings, while lower strikes trail amid optimism over FAA regulatory approvals accelerating commercialization. A potential June listing looms as the key catalyst, though execution risks like Starship delays could temper valuations; no-IPO odds remain negligible at 3.6% post-filing.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$667,557
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting an initial $1.75 trillion valuation and swiftly boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports yesterday, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's surging satellite internet subscriber growth to over 5 million and Starship's repeated orbital test successes enabling reusable launch cost reductions. The 1.8T–2.0T bin at 21% captures prior $1.75T expectations from March analyst briefings, while lower strikes trail amid optimism over FAA regulatory approvals accelerating commercialization. A potential June listing looms as the key catalyst, though execution risks like Starship delays could temper valuations; no-IPO odds remain negligible at 3.6% post-filing.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$667,557
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Acima de 2,0T" at 49%, followed by "1,8T–2,0T" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" has generated $667.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" is "Acima de 2,0T" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,8T–2,0T" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.