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Tecnologia·IPO

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)

icon for Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)
Tecnologia·IPO

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)

Acima de 2,0T 100.0%

Sem IPO antes de 2028 <1%

<1,0T <1%

1,0T–1,2T <1%

Polymarket

$1,871,822 Vol.

Acima de 2,0T 100.0%

Sem IPO antes de 2028 <1%

<1,0T <1%

1,0T–1,2T <1%

Polymarket

$1,871,822 Vol.

Sem IPO antes de 2028

$264,892 Vol.

Não

<1,0T

$273,046 Vol.

Não

1,0T–1,2T

$167,254 Vol.

Não

1,2T–1,4T

$124,356 Vol.

Não

1,4T–1,6T

$180,889 Vol.

Não

1,6T–1,8T

$179,491 Vol.

Não

1,8T–2,0T

$181,850 Vol.

Não

Acima de 2,0T

$500,042 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO priced at $135 per share for a roughly $1.77–1.8 trillion valuation and raised a record $75 billion amid heavy institutional oversubscription and retail allocation. Initial trading quickly lifted the stock above that level, with shares reaching the mid-$160s and pushing closing market cap past $2 trillion on the debut day. Traders cite sustained Starlink subscriber growth, Starship development progress, and new revenue streams as supporting the premium multiple, while the Elon Musk factor and broad AI-related demand add momentum. A sharp post-IPO reversal, regulatory setbacks on launches or spectrum, or disappointing quarterly results could still pull the cap back into lower brackets, though current order flow and sentiment make that outcome appear remote.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,871,822
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO priced at $135 per share for a roughly $1.77–1.8 trillion valuation and raised a record $75 billion amid heavy institutional oversubscription and retail allocation. Initial trading quickly lifted the stock above that level, with shares reaching the mid-$160s and pushing closing market cap past $2 trillion on the debut day. Traders cite sustained Starlink subscriber growth, Starship development progress, and new revenue streams as supporting the premium multiple, while the Elon Musk factor and broad AI-related demand add momentum. A sharp post-IPO reversal, regulatory setbacks on launches or spectrum, or disappointing quarterly results could still pull the cap back into lower brackets, though current order flow and sentiment make that outcome appear remote.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,871,822
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Acima de 2,0T" at 100%, followed by "Sem IPO antes de 2028" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" is "Acima de 2,0T" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sem IPO antes de 2028" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.