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icon for Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?

Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?

icon for Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?

Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?

12 100.0%

≤11 <1%

13 <1%

14 <1%

Polymarket

$99,730 Vol.

12 100.0%

≤11 <1%

13 <1%

14 <1%

Polymarket

$99,730 Vol.

≤11

$6,068 Vol.

Não

12

$4,589 Vol.

Sim

13

$15,432 Vol.

Não

14

$24,193 Vol.

Não

15

$2,648 Vol.

Não

16

$42,825 Vol.

Não

17 ou mais

$3,974 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus has locked in at a near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming the month's close on April 30 with no additional missions. This frontrunner status solidified after back-to-back successes on April 29—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 F3 on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy—capping a record-shattering cadence that included 10 prior Starlink groups, Cygnus NG-24 resupply, and GPS III-8, marking SpaceX's 50th mission of the year by April 26 amid surging Starlink deployment momentum. The aggressive schedule from Florida and California pads met expectations without delays, reflecting Elon Musk's high-stakes push for orbital dominance. Realistic upsets now hinge on rare resolution disputes, like a retroactive suborbital inclusion or FAA recount, though traders see negligible risk post-deadline.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$99,730
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus has locked in at a near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming the month's close on April 30 with no additional missions. This frontrunner status solidified after back-to-back successes on April 29—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 F3 on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy—capping a record-shattering cadence that included 10 prior Starlink groups, Cygnus NG-24 resupply, and GPS III-8, marking SpaceX's 50th mission of the year by April 26 amid surging Starlink deployment momentum. The aggressive schedule from Florida and California pads met expectations without delays, reflecting Elon Musk's high-stakes push for orbital dominance. Realistic upsets now hinge on rare resolution disputes, like a retroactive suborbital inclusion or FAA recount, though traders see negligible risk post-deadline.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$99,730
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12" at 100%, followed by "≤11" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?" has generated $99.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?" is "12" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤11" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX em abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.