Traders heavily favor zero magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes from March 23-29 at 52.5% implied probability, closely followed by one at 32%, reflecting the global seismic baseline of roughly one such event per week per USGS data. Under the Gutenberg-Richter law, these moderate quakes occur at a rate of about 50-60 annually worldwide, modeled as a Poisson process where the probability of zero events aligns near 37% absent anomalies—traders' tilt toward zero stems from no M6.5+ quakes reported yet this period through USGS real-time catalogs, with the last notable event a M6.6 off Japan's coast on March 21. Absent active fault swarms or aftershock sequences, steady background seismicity supports low-count outcomes, though monitors track Pacific Ring of Fire hotspots for late-week risks.