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Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?

Market icon

Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?

Sim

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$67,625 Vol.

Sim

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$67,625 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on "No" for Nipah virus detection in the US by March 31, 2026, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed cases in CDC and WHO surveillance data through the deadline. Nipah virus (NiV), a zoonotic pathogen with fruit bats (Pteropus spp.) as its natural reservoir, remains confined to South and Southeast Asia, with no native US bat hosts and no history of local transmission. Recent outbreaks in India (January 2026, West Bengal) and Bangladesh (February 2026, Rajshahi) prompted heightened global monitoring, including US traveler screenings, yet no imported infections materialized despite NiV's limited human-to-human spread. Realistic shifts would require an undetected traveler case evading robust epidemiological networks, an improbable scenario given ongoing real-time reporting from official public health agencies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Volume
$67,625
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on "No" for Nipah virus detection in the US by March 31, 2026, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed cases in CDC and WHO surveillance data through the deadline. Nipah virus (NiV), a zoonotic pathogen with fruit bats (Pteropus spp.) as its natural reservoir, remains confined to South and Southeast Asia, with no native US bat hosts and no history of local transmission. Recent outbreaks in India (January 2026, West Bengal) and Bangladesh (February 2026, Rajshahi) prompted heightened global monitoring, including US traveler screenings, yet no imported infections materialized despite NiV's limited human-to-human spread. Realistic shifts would require an undetected traveler case evading robust epidemiological networks, an improbable scenario given ongoing real-time reporting from official public health agencies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Volume
$67,625
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" has generated $67.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" is "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Vírus Nipah nos EUA até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.