Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA de codificação no final de junho?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA de codificação no final de junho?
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,799 Vol.
$121,799 Vol.
30 jun 2026
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,799 Vol.
$121,799 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$12,215 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$10,563 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$1,844 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$11,689 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$17,450 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$9,105 Vol.
No
Meta
$747 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$19,314 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$17,235 Vol.
No
xAI
$14,341 Vol.
No
Baidu
$868 Vol.
No
Amazon
$894 Vol.
No
Mistral
$1,058 Vol.
No
Meituan
$870 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$3,607 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$121,799Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$121,799Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions