Quantinuum’s recent S-1 filing on May 26 targeting a $12.7 billion valuation at $45–50 per share for roughly 21 million shares has anchored initial pricing expectations, yet strong institutional demand signals—including Bloomberg-reported considerations to boost share count and raise the range by about 10%—are driving Polymarket’s elevated closing market-cap brackets. Prior private funding at a $10 billion valuation in September 2025, combined with a $100 million U.S. government commitment under the CHIPS Act quantum program, has amplified trader sentiment around post-IPO momentum in the quantum-computing sector. With the anticipated Nasdaq debut under ticker QNT expected in early to mid-June, the current implied probabilities—led by the $25 billion-plus outcome at 46.5%—embed assumptions of a substantial first-day premium consistent with high-growth technology listings, tempered by the inherent uncertainty in translating pre-IPO filings into actual trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantinuum IPO Closing Market Cap
Quantinuum IPO Closing Market Cap
$25B+ 47%
$22B–$25B 32%
$19B–$22B 13%
$16B–$19B 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 jun 2026
<$10B
1%
$10B–$13B
4%
$13B–$16B
5%
$16B–$19B
6%
$19B–$22B
13%
$22B–$25B
32%
$25B+
47%
No IPO before August 2026
1%
$25B+ 47%
$22B–$25B 32%
$19B–$22B 13%
$16B–$19B 6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 jun 2026
<$10B
$685 Vol.
1%
$10B–$13B
$1,418 Vol.
4%
$13B–$16B
$1,472 Vol.
5%
$16B–$19B
$996 Vol.
6%
$19B–$22B
$642 Vol.
13%
$22B–$25B
$953 Vol.
32%
$25B+
$1,175 Vol.
47%
No IPO before August 2026
$347 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Quantinuum's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Quantinuum’s recent S-1 filing on May 26 targeting a $12.7 billion valuation at $45–50 per share for roughly 21 million shares has anchored initial pricing expectations, yet strong institutional demand signals—including Bloomberg-reported considerations to boost share count and raise the range by about 10%—are driving Polymarket’s elevated closing market-cap brackets. Prior private funding at a $10 billion valuation in September 2025, combined with a $100 million U.S. government commitment under the CHIPS Act quantum program, has amplified trader sentiment around post-IPO momentum in the quantum-computing sector. With the anticipated Nasdaq debut under ticker QNT expected in early to mid-June, the current implied probabilities—led by the $25 billion-plus outcome at 46.5%—embed assumptions of a substantial first-day premium consistent with high-growth technology listings, tempered by the inherent uncertainty in translating pre-IPO filings into actual trading levels.
This market will resolve based on Quantinuum's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 10:36 PM ET
Volume
$7,688Data de Término
4 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 10:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Quantinuum's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Quantinuum’s recent S-1 filing on May 26 targeting a $12.7 billion valuation at $45–50 per share for roughly 21 million shares has anchored initial pricing expectations, yet strong institutional demand signals—including Bloomberg-reported considerations to boost share count and raise the range by about 10%—are driving Polymarket’s elevated closing market-cap brackets. Prior private funding at a $10 billion valuation in September 2025, combined with a $100 million U.S. government commitment under the CHIPS Act quantum program, has amplified trader sentiment around post-IPO momentum in the quantum-computing sector. With the anticipated Nasdaq debut under ticker QNT expected in early to mid-June, the current implied probabilities—led by the $25 billion-plus outcome at 46.5%—embed assumptions of a substantial first-day premium consistent with high-growth technology listings, tempered by the inherent uncertainty in translating pre-IPO filings into actual trading levels.
This market will resolve based on Quantinuum's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$7,688Data de Término
4 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 10:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Quantinuum’s recent S-1 filing on May 26 targeting a $12.7 billion valuation at $45–50 per share for roughly 21 million shares has anchored initial pricing expectations, yet strong institutional demand signals—including Bloomberg-reported considerations to boost share count and raise the range by about 10%—are driving Polymarket’s elevated closing market-cap brackets. Prior private funding at a $10 billion valuation in September 2025, combined with a $100 million U.S. government commitment under the CHIPS Act quantum program, has amplified trader sentiment around post-IPO momentum in the quantum-computing sector. With the anticipated Nasdaq debut under ticker QNT expected in early to mid-June, the current implied probabilities—led by the $25 billion-plus outcome at 46.5%—embed assumptions of a substantial first-day premium consistent with high-growth technology listings, tempered by the inherent uncertainty in translating pre-IPO filings into actual trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions