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Hormoz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1%

$6M Vol.

$935K today

$525K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

9%

$16M Vol.

$478K today

$584K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

56%

July 31

$30M Vol.

$449K today

$258K Liq.

576

Ends em 20 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

30%

$3M Vol.

$215K today

$234K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

77%

$845K Vol.

$111K today

$186K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

28%

20+

$137K Vol.

$98.6K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

30%

United States

$154K Vol.

$82.6K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

13%

$109K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

73%

0-10

$33.7K Vol.

$68.8K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

78%

25-49

$6.4K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

4%

$16.3K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

$3.7K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

27%

Oil Sanction Relief

$993K Vol.

$194K today

$243K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

100%

June 15

$68M Vol.

$1M today

$9M Liq.

2,460

Ends há 10 dias

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

87%

<5

$2.4K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

ITF Nyiregyhaza: Botond Nagy vs Yannik Kelm

ITF Nyiregyhaza: Botond Nagy vs Yannik Kelm

85%

Yannik Kelm

$523 Vol.

$360 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

89%

<5

$11.1K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Jana Hossam Salah

ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Jana Hossam Salah

67%

Julia Adams

$41 Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

83%

December 31

$150K Vol.

$150K today

$107K Liq.

4

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

87%

<5

$1.1K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hormoz.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Hormoz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $126.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to June 15. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hormoz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.