Skip to main content

Hormoz previsões e probabilidades

·
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

2%

$28M Vol.

$1M today

$398K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

67%

June 30

$22M Vol.

$249K today

$157K Liq.

518

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

43%

$10M Vol.

$244K today

$205K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

19%

$161K Vol.

$159K today

$36.9K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

62%

$2M Vol.

$148K today

$117K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

61%

20+

$1M Vol.

$98.0K today

$46.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

4%

United Kingdom

$1M Vol.

$247K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%

$852K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 18?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 18?

51%

20-39

$137K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?

45%

25-49

$17.8K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

85%

$382K Vol.

$141K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

72%

0-10

$615K Vol.

$79.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

21%

$5.0K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

63%

United States

$2.7K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

4%

$261 Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

28%

Oil Sanction Relief

$7M Vol.

$377K today

$125K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

70%

Oil Sanction Relief

$29.8K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will JD Vance say during Air Force Academy Address?

What will JD Vance say during Air Force Academy Address?

75%

President / Trump 10+ times

$1.6K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

24%

June 30

$44M Vol.

$3M today

$104K Liq.

1,963

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hormoz.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Hormoz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $119.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hormoz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.