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NegociaçõEs previsões e probabilidades

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Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

29%

U.S. Soybean Purchase

$308K Vol.

$164K today

$63.1K Liq.

67

Ends em 5 dias

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

71%

December 31

$151K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

May 31

$29.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

8

Ends em 14 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

2%

May 31

$176K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

23

Ends em 14 dias

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$593K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

38

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

3%

$12.1K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$600K Vol.

$86.2K today

$429K Liq.

44

Ends em 8 meses

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$7.1K Vol.

$226K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

26%

$71.1K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

6

Ends em 14 dias

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

53%

June 30

$37M Vol.

$390K today

$184K Liq.

6

Ends há 17 dias

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

27%

South Korea

$269K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

16%

$572K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

34

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

9%

June 30

$5M Vol.

$1M today

$11.9K Liq.

120

Ends há 5 meses

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

16%

$251 Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$586 Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

31%

June 30

$121K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

51%

June 30

$4.2K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$92.9K Liq.

69

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for NegociaçõEs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $48.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on NegociaçõEs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.