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Mundo·Coreia Do Norte

As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Mundo·Coreia Do Norte

As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?

jun 30

jun 30

Sim

16% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

16% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors no direct talks between North and South Korea by June 30 at 83.5%, driven by Pyongyang's entrenched rejection of dialogue with Seoul, solidified in Kim Jong Un's March 23 speech vowing to irreversibly advance nuclear capabilities while labeling South Korea the "principal enemy" and ruling out bilateral negotiations. North Korea reiterated this stance on April 8, expressing no interest in talks despite South Korean President Lee Jae Myung's repeated overtures since March 1 for renewed diplomacy and respect for Pyongyang's system. Recent deepening of China-North Korea ties, including Foreign Minister Wang Yi's planned Pyongyang visit, further sidelines Seoul. Absent a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or U.S.-brokered thaw, historical hostility and missile activities reinforce low expectations for summits or high-level meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,203
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors no direct talks between North and South Korea by June 30 at 83.5%, driven by Pyongyang's entrenched rejection of dialogue with Seoul, solidified in Kim Jong Un's March 23 speech vowing to irreversibly advance nuclear capabilities while labeling South Korea the "principal enemy" and ruling out bilateral negotiations. North Korea reiterated this stance on April 8, expressing no interest in talks despite South Korean President Lee Jae Myung's repeated overtures since March 1 for renewed diplomacy and respect for Pyongyang's system. Recent deepening of China-North Korea ties, including Foreign Minister Wang Yi's planned Pyongyang visit, further sidelines Seoul. Absent a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or U.S.-brokered thaw, historical hostility and missile activities reinforce low expectations for summits or high-level meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,203
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Coreia do Norte e a Coreia do Sul realizarão conversações diretas até 30 de junho?" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?" is "A Coreia do Norte e a Coreia do Sul realizarão conversações diretas até 30 de junho?" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em negociações diretas até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.