Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 49% implied probability for a Bank of Korea base rate hike in July, edging out no change at 48%, reflecting mixed signals from recent data amid the current 2.50% policy rate unchanged since late 2025. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—its fastest pace in 21 months driven by surging petroleum prices—bolstered by strong Q1 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter from semiconductors, while the won's 17-year low near 1,470-1,480 per dollar adds pressure. Deputy Governor Ryoo's May 4 remarks signaling time for rate hikes tipped sentiment slightly hawkish, though new Governor Shin's balanced stance on inflation, growth, and financial stability keeps no-change viable; watch the May 28 meeting for forward guidance that could break the deadlock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Sem alteração 49%
Aumento 46%
Redução 1.6%
$12,616 Vol.
$12,616 Vol.
Redução
2%
Sem alteração
49%
Aumento
48%
Sem alteração 49%
Aumento 46%
Redução 1.6%
$12,616 Vol.
$12,616 Vol.
Redução
2%
Sem alteração
49%
Aumento
48%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 49% implied probability for a Bank of Korea base rate hike in July, edging out no change at 48%, reflecting mixed signals from recent data amid the current 2.50% policy rate unchanged since late 2025. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—its fastest pace in 21 months driven by surging petroleum prices—bolstered by strong Q1 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter from semiconductors, while the won's 17-year low near 1,470-1,480 per dollar adds pressure. Deputy Governor Ryoo's May 4 remarks signaling time for rate hikes tipped sentiment slightly hawkish, though new Governor Shin's balanced stance on inflation, growth, and financial stability keeps no-change viable; watch the May 28 meeting for forward guidance that could break the deadlock.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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