Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, bolstered by his 2024 reelection for a term through 2030 and constitutional amendments allowing rule until 2036, drives the 97.6% "No" trader consensus on his removal by June 30. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, elite coups, or Kremlin power struggles—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite ongoing Ukraine conflict and recent ally losses like Iran's Khamenei. Institutional loyalty from siloviki and suppressed opposition reinforce entrenchment. Unforeseen scenarios like acute health failure, assassination success, or factional revolt amid war escalation could still shift odds, though historical precedents favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$1,058,220 Vol.
$1,058,220 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$1,058,220 Vol.
$1,058,220 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, bolstered by his 2024 reelection for a term through 2030 and constitutional amendments allowing rule until 2036, drives the 97.6% "No" trader consensus on his removal by June 30. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, elite coups, or Kremlin power struggles—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite ongoing Ukraine conflict and recent ally losses like Iran's Khamenei. Institutional loyalty from siloviki and suppressed opposition reinforce entrenchment. Unforeseen scenarios like acute health failure, assassination success, or factional revolt amid war escalation could still shift odds, though historical precedents favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,058,220Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, bolstered by his 2024 reelection for a term through 2030 and constitutional amendments allowing rule until 2036, drives the 97.6% "No" trader consensus on his removal by June 30. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, elite coups, or Kremlin power struggles—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite ongoing Ukraine conflict and recent ally losses like Iran's Khamenei. Institutional loyalty from siloviki and suppressed opposition reinforce entrenchment. Unforeseen scenarios like acute health failure, assassination success, or factional revolt amid war escalation could still shift odds, though historical precedents favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,058,220Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, bolstered by his 2024 reelection for a term through 2030 and constitutional amendments allowing rule until 2036, drives the 97.6% "No" trader consensus on his removal by June 30. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, elite coups, or Kremlin power struggles—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite ongoing Ukraine conflict and recent ally losses like Iran's Khamenei. Institutional loyalty from siloviki and suppressed opposition reinforce entrenchment. Unforeseen scenarios like acute health failure, assassination success, or factional revolt amid war escalation could still shift odds, though historical precedents favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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