**Trader sentiment on U.S. nuclear explosive testing reflects ongoing administration rhetoric and stockpile stewardship debates amid accusations of low-yield activity by China.** President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China, citing alleged violations of the zero-yield standard, remains the central catalyst, though subsequent statements clarified initial focus on subcritical or hydrodynamic experiments at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield detonations. As of mid-2026, no U.S. explosive test has occurred since the 1992 moratorium, with infrastructure maintained but activities limited to non-explosive methods under the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Recent congressional provisions tie any U.S. resumption to foreign tests, while tensions with Iran and North Korea sustain broader nuclear posture reviews. Upcoming factors include any new intelligence releases on foreign activities or administration decisions on test readiness within the Nevada site’s maintained capabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTeste nuclear dos EUA por...?
Teste nuclear dos EUA por...?
$795,441 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro de 2026
1%
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$795,441 Vol.
30 de setembro de 2026
$57,710 Vol.
1%
31 de dezembro de 2026
$76,920 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment on U.S. nuclear explosive testing reflects ongoing administration rhetoric and stockpile stewardship debates amid accusations of low-yield activity by China.** President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China, citing alleged violations of the zero-yield standard, remains the central catalyst, though subsequent statements clarified initial focus on subcritical or hydrodynamic experiments at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield detonations. As of mid-2026, no U.S. explosive test has occurred since the 1992 moratorium, with infrastructure maintained but activities limited to non-explosive methods under the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Recent congressional provisions tie any U.S. resumption to foreign tests, while tensions with Iran and North Korea sustain broader nuclear posture reviews. Upcoming factors include any new intelligence releases on foreign activities or administration decisions on test readiness within the Nevada site’s maintained capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$795,441Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.**Trader sentiment on U.S. nuclear explosive testing reflects ongoing administration rhetoric and stockpile stewardship debates amid accusations of low-yield activity by China.** President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China, citing alleged violations of the zero-yield standard, remains the central catalyst, though subsequent statements clarified initial focus on subcritical or hydrodynamic experiments at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield detonations. As of mid-2026, no U.S. explosive test has occurred since the 1992 moratorium, with infrastructure maintained but activities limited to non-explosive methods under the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Recent congressional provisions tie any U.S. resumption to foreign tests, while tensions with Iran and North Korea sustain broader nuclear posture reviews. Upcoming factors include any new intelligence releases on foreign activities or administration decisions on test readiness within the Nevada site’s maintained capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$795,441Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment on U.S. nuclear explosive testing reflects ongoing administration rhetoric and stockpile stewardship debates amid accusations of low-yield activity by China.** President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China, citing alleged violations of the zero-yield standard, remains the central catalyst, though subsequent statements clarified initial focus on subcritical or hydrodynamic experiments at the Nevada National Security Site rather than full-yield detonations. As of mid-2026, no U.S. explosive test has occurred since the 1992 moratorium, with infrastructure maintained but activities limited to non-explosive methods under the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Recent congressional provisions tie any U.S. resumption to foreign tests, while tensions with Iran and North Korea sustain broader nuclear posture reviews. Upcoming factors include any new intelligence releases on foreign activities or administration decisions on test readiness within the Nevada site’s maintained capabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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