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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

Mike Rogers 92%

Kent Benham 3.7%

Andrew Kamal 2.4%

Fred Heurtebise 1.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mike Rogers 92%

Kent Benham 3.7%

Andrew Kamal 2.4%

Fred Heurtebise 1.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mike Rogers

$3,143 Vol.

92%

Kent Benham

$0 Vol.

4%

Andrew Kamal

$0 Vol.

2%

Fred Heurtebise

$0 Vol.

2%

Genevieve Scott

$0 Vol.

1%

Bernadette Smith

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers commands 92% trader consensus as Michigan Republican Senate primary winner on August 4 due to his overwhelming leads in recent primary polls, including 30% to 12% and 36% to 22% advantages over scattered challengers like Kent Benham, reflecting strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss and establishment backing from the NRSC and a $15 million Sentinel Action Fund super PAC commitment in mid-March. Weak fields of low-profile candidates such as Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith further solidify his position, bolstered by competitive general election polling against a fragmented Democratic primary. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile entrant, fundraising surge by a self-funder, or unforeseen scandal, though primary consolidation favors the frontrunner historically.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,143
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers commands 92% trader consensus as Michigan Republican Senate primary winner on August 4 due to his overwhelming leads in recent primary polls, including 30% to 12% and 36% to 22% advantages over scattered challengers like Kent Benham, reflecting strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss and establishment backing from the NRSC and a $15 million Sentinel Action Fund super PAC commitment in mid-March. Weak fields of low-profile candidates such as Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith further solidify his position, bolstered by competitive general election polling against a fragmented Democratic primary. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile entrant, fundraising surge by a self-funder, or unforeseen scandal, though primary consolidation favors the frontrunner historically.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,143
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rogers" at 92%, followed by "Kent Benham" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 22, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is "Mike Rogers" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kent Benham" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.