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UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 6.2%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$29,110 Vol.

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 6.2%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$29,110 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,826 Vol.

75%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Vol.

20%

Liban Mohamed

$657 Vol.

6%

Brian King

$1,112 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Ben McAdams commands 74.5% trader consensus as UT-01 Democratic primary frontrunner on June 23, fueled by his dominant fundraising—cash reserves exceeding the crowded field combined—and a late-March poll showing him at 36% amid high name recognition from his 2019-2021 House service.** Despite Liban Mohamed's ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing party backing, traders discount this activist-driven outcome given Utah's open primary allowing unaffiliated voters and same-day party changes, favoring McAdams' moderate appeal in the newly drawn blue district. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds 19.5% as signature-qualified progressive challenger, while others lag; no post-convention polls have emerged to shift dynamics ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,110
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Ben McAdams commands 74.5% trader consensus as UT-01 Democratic primary frontrunner on June 23, fueled by his dominant fundraising—cash reserves exceeding the crowded field combined—and a late-March poll showing him at 36% amid high name recognition from his 2019-2021 House service.** Despite Liban Mohamed's ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing party backing, traders discount this activist-driven outcome given Utah's open primary allowing unaffiliated voters and same-day party changes, favoring McAdams' moderate appeal in the newly drawn blue district. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds 19.5% as signature-qualified progressive challenger, while others lag; no post-convention polls have emerged to shift dynamics ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,110
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 75%, followed by "Nate Blouin" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $29.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ben McAdams" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nate Blouin" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.