Recent rejections by Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission have anchored trader expectations against any 2026 clemency for former President Pedro Castillo. In June and July 2026 the interim government under José María Balcázar declared multiple pardon and humanitarian clemency requests inadmissible for failing to meet procedural requirements in his two criminal cases. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year, five-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy over the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the administration explicitly ruling out commutation before the transition. With the current term ending soon and no legislative or executive actions advancing release, the 82% “No” pricing reflects these confirmed procedural and political barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
18% chance
$42,861 Vol.
$42,861 Vol.
31 dez 2026
18% chance
$42,861 Vol.
$42,861 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections by Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission have anchored trader expectations against any 2026 clemency for former President Pedro Castillo. In June and July 2026 the interim government under José María Balcázar declared multiple pardon and humanitarian clemency requests inadmissible for failing to meet procedural requirements in his two criminal cases. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year, five-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy over the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the administration explicitly ruling out commutation before the transition. With the current term ending soon and no legislative or executive actions advancing release, the 82% “No” pricing reflects these confirmed procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$42,861Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections by Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission have anchored trader expectations against any 2026 clemency for former President Pedro Castillo. In June and July 2026 the interim government under José María Balcázar declared multiple pardon and humanitarian clemency requests inadmissible for failing to meet procedural requirements in his two criminal cases. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year, five-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy over the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the administration explicitly ruling out commutation before the transition. With the current term ending soon and no legislative or executive actions advancing release, the 82% “No” pricing reflects these confirmed procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,861Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent rejections by Peru’s Ministry of Justice and the Presidential Pardons Commission have anchored trader expectations against any 2026 clemency for former President Pedro Castillo. In June and July 2026 the interim government under José María Balcázar declared multiple pardon and humanitarian clemency requests inadmissible for failing to meet procedural requirements in his two criminal cases. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction and 11-year, five-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy over the 2022 self-coup attempt remain in force, with the administration explicitly ruling out commutation before the transition. With the current term ending soon and no legislative or executive actions advancing release, the 82% “No” pricing reflects these confirmed procedural and political barriers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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