With Oklahoma's three-day candidate filing period underway through April 3, trader consensus in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary—scheduled for June 16—shows N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas narrowly leading at 45.5% implied probability over Jim Priest's 37.5%, reflecting a fragmented field and scant public polling in this low-turnout, deep-red state. Thomas's active social media presence and volunteer mobilization give her a slight edge among bettors, while Priest's credentials as a civil rights lawyer and minister draw steady support from party faithful. The absence of surveys or major endorsements keeps the top contenders tightly matched, with Troy Green at 10% and Rebekah LaVann at 2.6%; separation could emerge from initial FEC fundraising reports, Oklahoma Democratic Party backing, or pre-primary debates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 44%
Troy Green 10%
Rebekah LaVann 2.6%
Jim Priest 0
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas
45%
Troy Green
10%
Rebekah LaVann
3%
Jim Priest
38%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 44%
Troy Green 10%
Rebekah LaVann 2.6%
Jim Priest 0
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas
45%
Troy Green
10%
Rebekah LaVann
3%
Jim Priest
38%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Oklahoma's three-day candidate filing period underway through April 3, trader consensus in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary—scheduled for June 16—shows N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas narrowly leading at 45.5% implied probability over Jim Priest's 37.5%, reflecting a fragmented field and scant public polling in this low-turnout, deep-red state. Thomas's active social media presence and volunteer mobilization give her a slight edge among bettors, while Priest's credentials as a civil rights lawyer and minister draw steady support from party faithful. The absence of surveys or major endorsements keeps the top contenders tightly matched, with Troy Green at 10% and Rebekah LaVann at 2.6%; separation could emerge from initial FEC fundraising reports, Oklahoma Democratic Party backing, or pre-primary debates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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