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Renunciar previsões e probabilidades

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

93

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

28

Ends em 8 meses

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

7%

$16.7K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

12%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$66.3K Liq.

43

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$52.3K today

$355K Liq.

33

Ends em 8 meses

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

19%

$54.8K Vol.

$26.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$101K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$57.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

63%

June 30

$110K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

54

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$275K Vol.

$76.5K Liq.

67

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

98%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M Vol.

$149K today

$751K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$206K today

$235K Liq.

1,072

Ends em 8 meses

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$738K Vol.

$307K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$61.1K today

$128K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M Vol.

$480K Liq.

705

Ends em 8 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

69%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$62.4K today

$154K Liq.

700

Ends há 4 meses

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

62%

Nicolás Maduro

$87M Vol.

$53.7K today

$926K Liq.

327

Ends em 8 meses

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

21%

$369K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

139

Ends em 24 dias

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$99.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Renunciar.

Polymarket currently hosts 213 active markets for Renunciar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $263.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Renunciar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.