Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

89

Ends em 3 meses

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$409K Vol.

$131K Liq.

21

Ends em 9 meses

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

7%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

43

Ends em 3 meses

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

$15.2K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113M Vol.

$636K today

$20M Liq.

36

Ends em 9 meses

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

15%

$35.6K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

50%

Tulsi Gabbard

$899 Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$97.3K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$108K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

54

Ends em 3 meses

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

77%

Kash Patel

$762K Vol.

$329K today

$157K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

68%

Delcy Rodríguez

$80M Vol.

$248K today

$1M Liq.

203

Ends em 9 meses

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

15%

$6M Vol.

$115K today

$651K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$487K Vol.

$101K today

$201K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

34%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$54.6K today

$271K Liq.

892

Ends em 9 meses

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

11%

$3M Vol.

$55.1K today

$340K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M Vol.

$275K Liq.

705

Ends em 9 meses

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

31%

$23.5K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

53%

June 30

$135K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$381K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

20%

$2M Vol.

$143K Liq.

89

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Renunciar.

Polymarket currently hosts 193 active markets for Renunciar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $227.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Renunciar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.