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Renunciar previsões e probabilidades

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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

28

Ends em 7 meses

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

8%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

43

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

$18.3K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$121M Vol.

$72.9K today

$204K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$209K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

71%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$151K today

$245K Liq.

1,728

Ends há 5 meses

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$3M Vol.

$279K today

$894K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 dias

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

13%

Dong Jun

$164K Vol.

$125K Liq.

16

Ends em 7 meses

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Vol.

$313K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

63%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

131

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$102K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%

$9M Vol.

$267K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

48%

$13.7K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

20%

$17.1K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

47%

$795 Vol.

$232 Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

10%

December 31

$59.1K Vol.

$59.1K today

$371K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

8%

December 31

$12.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$115K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

2%

$3.7K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Renunciar.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Renunciar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $174.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Renunciar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.