No removal events have altered President Trump's term through August 31, 2026. Impeachment proceedings in Congress did not advance to conviction, no resignation occurred, and no health or legal developments triggered invocation of the 25th Amendment or other succession mechanisms. Traders reflect this outcome in the 100% "No" price, consistent with the absence of qualifying catalysts during the period. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted probabilities include sudden medical incapacity, unexpected congressional action, or major scandals prompting departure, though none materialized before the resolution window closed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
<1% chance
$2,826,325 Vol.
$2,826,325 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Sim
<1% chance
$2,826,325 Vol.
$2,826,325 Vol.
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.No removal events have altered President Trump's term through August 31, 2026. Impeachment proceedings in Congress did not advance to conviction, no resignation occurred, and no health or legal developments triggered invocation of the 25th Amendment or other succession mechanisms. Traders reflect this outcome in the 100% "No" price, consistent with the absence of qualifying catalysts during the period. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted probabilities include sudden medical incapacity, unexpected congressional action, or major scandals prompting departure, though none materialized before the resolution window closed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Volume
$2,826,325Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.No removal events have altered President Trump's term through August 31, 2026. Impeachment proceedings in Congress did not advance to conviction, no resignation occurred, and no health or legal developments triggered invocation of the 25th Amendment or other succession mechanisms. Traders reflect this outcome in the 100% "No" price, consistent with the absence of qualifying catalysts during the period. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted probabilities include sudden medical incapacity, unexpected congressional action, or major scandals prompting departure, though none materialized before the resolution window closed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,826,325Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
No removal events have altered President Trump's term through August 31, 2026. Impeachment proceedings in Congress did not advance to conviction, no resignation occurred, and no health or legal developments triggered invocation of the 25th Amendment or other succession mechanisms. Traders reflect this outcome in the 100% "No" price, consistent with the absence of qualifying catalysts during the period. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted probabilities include sudden medical incapacity, unexpected congressional action, or major scandals prompting departure, though none materialized before the resolution window closed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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