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Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?

Market icon

Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?

$314,950 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$314,950 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$17,396 Vol.

10%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$4,115 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu remains French Prime Minister amid ongoing political instability from the fragmented parliament following 2024 snap elections, marking him as President Macron's fifth PM since September 2025 despite an initial 26-day resignation and reappointment. Trader consensus reflects his minority government's reliance on procedural tactics, such as forcing the 2026 budget through without a vote in January. In the past week, parliament rejected a New Caledonia constitutional reform in chaotic sessions, with Lecornu convening talks next week; rising fuel prices from the Iran conflict prompted targeted aid announcements on April 3. Potential no-confidence motions or budget disputes pose ongoing risks to his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$314,950
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu remains French Prime Minister amid ongoing political instability from the fragmented parliament following 2024 snap elections, marking him as President Macron's fifth PM since September 2025 despite an initial 26-day resignation and reappointment. Trader consensus reflects his minority government's reliance on procedural tactics, such as forcing the 2026 budget through without a vote in January. In the past week, parliament rejected a New Caledonia constitutional reform in chaotic sessions, with Lecornu convening talks next week; rising fuel prices from the Iran conflict prompted targeted aid announcements on April 3. Potential no-confidence motions or budget disputes pose ongoing risks to his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$314,950
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 37%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?" has generated $314.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.