Market icon
Política·França

Macron fora por...?

Market icon
Política·França

Macron fora por...?

$1,891,105 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,891,105 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$299,261 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron continues to navigate chronic political gridlock in a hung National Assembly stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, which denied his allies a majority and toppled multiple governments through no-confidence votes. The latest administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived twin no-confidence motions from the far left and far right in January 2026, securing passage of the delayed 2026 budget via Article 49.3 despite opposition. No verified developments in the past 30 days have intensified pressure for Macron's early departure—U.S. President Donald Trump's March 17 claim that Macron would exit "very soon" amid unsubstantiated Iran tensions generated buzz but no policy shifts. With constitutional barriers to another dissolution lifted since June 2025, traders watch for potential snap elections or resignation signals ahead of Macron's term ending May 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,891,105
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron continues to navigate chronic political gridlock in a hung National Assembly stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, which denied his allies a majority and toppled multiple governments through no-confidence votes. The latest administration under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived twin no-confidence motions from the far left and far right in January 2026, securing passage of the delayed 2026 budget via Article 49.3 despite opposition. No verified developments in the past 30 days have intensified pressure for Macron's early departure—U.S. President Donald Trump's March 17 claim that Macron would exit "very soon" amid unsubstantiated Iran tensions generated buzz but no policy shifts. With constitutional barriers to another dissolution lifted since June 2025, traders watch for potential snap elections or resignation signals ahead of Macron's term ending May 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,891,105
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Macron fora por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 2%, followed by "31 de outubro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Macron fora por...?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Macron fora por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Macron fora por...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at just 2%, with "31 de outubro de 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Macron fora por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.