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IBGE previsões e probabilidades

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Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

74%

Mette Frederiksen

$9M Vol.

$346K today

$174K Liq.

170

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

27%

5.00-5.49%

$57.3K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

37%

1.5%–1.8%

$20.9K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

40%

4.50% to 4.99%

$41.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

87%

$11.2K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

80%

Decrease

$41.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

10

Ends em 5 meses

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

68%

1.0-2.0%

$8.7K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Bahia Governor Election Winner

48%

ACM Neto

$14.0K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

93%

No change

$11.0K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

34%

May 30

$27.0K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 14 dias

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

31%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

5

$7M Vol.

$342K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

70%

No change

$2.1K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

50%

25 bps increase

$49 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

92%

↑ $3.00

$195K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

99%

1900

$69.4K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

30%

140-159

$1.5K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

50%

≤8

$90.3K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%

$106 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IBGE.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for IBGE that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israeli election results in a hung parliament?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to Mette Frederiksen. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IBGE predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.