Recent energy price surges, including gasoline and fuel oil advances tied to geopolitical tensions, have propelled trader focus on the May 2026 CPI year-over-year print, scheduled for June 10 release. April's 3.8% headline rate—well above the prior 3.3%—established a higher base, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing toward 4.18% for May and consensus estimates clustered near 3.9%. The near-even split between 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes captures residual uncertainty over monthly components such as shelter costs and core goods, where modest offsets could shift the final figure. Market-implied odds embed real-capital assessments of these near-term data dynamics ahead of the official Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado4.2% 43%
4.3% 42%
≥4,4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,863 Vol.
$346,863 Vol.
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
43%
4.3%
42%
≥4,4%
11%
4.2% 43%
4.3% 42%
≥4,4% 11%
4.1% 6.0%
$346,863 Vol.
$346,863 Vol.
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
43%
4.3%
42%
≥4,4%
11%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges, including gasoline and fuel oil advances tied to geopolitical tensions, have propelled trader focus on the May 2026 CPI year-over-year print, scheduled for June 10 release. April's 3.8% headline rate—well above the prior 3.3%—established a higher base, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing toward 4.18% for May and consensus estimates clustered near 3.9%. The near-even split between 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes captures residual uncertainty over monthly components such as shelter costs and core goods, where modest offsets could shift the final figure. Market-implied odds embed real-capital assessments of these near-term data dynamics ahead of the official Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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