The Bahia gubernatorial race centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking reelection against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with the first round set for October 4. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel shows the two in a technical tie or within a few points in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting persistent voter indecision and comparable rejection levels. Campaign activity has featured mutual accusations over infrastructure delivery and past financial matters, alongside standard appeals on health, security, and education. Minor candidates register negligible support across surveys. Current market pricing appears to incorporate Jerônimo’s incumbency advantages and party infrastructure in the state, even as polling aggregates indicate a closely balanced contest with limited recent momentum shifts for either side.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,789 Vol.
$152,789 Vol.
4 out 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,789 Vol.
$152,789 Vol.
4 out 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 Vol.
61%
ACM Neto
$60,865 Vol.
38%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking reelection against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with the first round set for October 4. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel shows the two in a technical tie or within a few points in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting persistent voter indecision and comparable rejection levels. Campaign activity has featured mutual accusations over infrastructure delivery and past financial matters, alongside standard appeals on health, security, and education. Minor candidates register negligible support across surveys. Current market pricing appears to incorporate Jerônimo’s incumbency advantages and party infrastructure in the state, even as polling aggregates indicate a closely balanced contest with limited recent momentum shifts for either side.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$152,789Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking reelection against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with the first round set for October 4. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel shows the two in a technical tie or within a few points in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting persistent voter indecision and comparable rejection levels. Campaign activity has featured mutual accusations over infrastructure delivery and past financial matters, alongside standard appeals on health, security, and education. Minor candidates register negligible support across surveys. Current market pricing appears to incorporate Jerônimo’s incumbency advantages and party infrastructure in the state, even as polling aggregates indicate a closely balanced contest with limited recent momentum shifts for either side.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$152,789Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial race centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking reelection against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with the first round set for October 4. Recent September polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel shows the two in a technical tie or within a few points in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting persistent voter indecision and comparable rejection levels. Campaign activity has featured mutual accusations over infrastructure delivery and past financial matters, alongside standard appeals on health, security, and education. Minor candidates register negligible support across surveys. Current market pricing appears to incorporate Jerônimo’s incumbency advantages and party infrastructure in the state, even as polling aggregates indicate a closely balanced contest with limited recent momentum shifts for either side.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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