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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 24.6%

Ousmane Dembélé 21.4%

Lamine Yamal 10%

Declan Rice 9.7%

Polymarket

$3,627,050 Vol.

Harry Kane 24.6%

Ousmane Dembélé 21.4%

Lamine Yamal 10%

Declan Rice 9.7%

Polymarket

$3,627,050 Vol.

Harry Kane

$721,451 Vol.

25%

Ousmane Dembélé

$415,097 Vol.

21%

Lamine Yamal

$85,673 Vol.

10%

Declan Rice

$58,247 Vol.

10%

Kylian Mbappé

$139,449 Vol.

10%

Vitinha

$55,968 Vol.

7%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$65,614 Vol.

7%

Michael Olise

$92,570 Vol.

6%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$60,445 Vol.

2%

Bruno Fernandes

$39,784 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$44,251 Vol.

1%

Vinícius Júnior

$472,228 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$283,791 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$266,610 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$31,477 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$36,620 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$42,929 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$29,923 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$28,378 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$227,703 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$38,651 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$253,829 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$68,878 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$67,546 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane and Ousmane Dembélé lead the tightly bunched 2026 Ballon d'Or field in trader consensus, reflecting their standout 2025-26 campaigns marked by prolific goal contributions, creative output, and major team honors. Kane's exceptional scoring tally and Bundesliga success with Bayern Munich have kept him atop power rankings, while Dembélé's strong Champions League displays and prior title position him as the primary challenger seeking back-to-back recognition. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé trail closely due to high assist numbers, midfield dominance, and consistent elite performances, respectively, with the overall race shaped by individual stats, club achievements, and the season's final stretch including potential World Cup impact.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,627,050
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane and Ousmane Dembélé lead the tightly bunched 2026 Ballon d'Or field in trader consensus, reflecting their standout 2025-26 campaigns marked by prolific goal contributions, creative output, and major team honors. Kane's exceptional scoring tally and Bundesliga success with Bayern Munich have kept him atop power rankings, while Dembélé's strong Champions League displays and prior title position him as the primary challenger seeking back-to-back recognition. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé trail closely due to high assist numbers, midfield dominance, and consistent elite performances, respectively, with the overall race shaped by individual stats, club achievements, and the season's final stretch including potential World Cup impact.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,627,050
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 25%, followed by "Ousmane Dembélé" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.