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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 23.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%

Lamine Yamal 11%

Declan Rice 10.5%

Polymarket

$3,474,566 Vol.

Harry Kane 23.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%

Lamine Yamal 11%

Declan Rice 10.5%

Polymarket

$3,474,566 Vol.

Harry Kane

$716,444 Vol.

24%

Ousmane Dembélé

$403,673 Vol.

19%

Lamine Yamal

$81,540 Vol.

11%

Declan Rice

$54,766 Vol.

11%

Kylian Mbappé

$133,557 Vol.

9%

Vitinha

$51,211 Vol.

8%

Michael Olise

$88,937 Vol.

6%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$56,525 Vol.

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$52,971 Vol.

3%

Pedri

$279,877 Vol.

2%

Bruno Fernandes

$34,918 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$261,107 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$30,871 Vol.

1%

Vinícius Júnior

$470,064 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$34,355 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$26,483 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$25,245 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$35,272 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$217,743 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$230,253 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$27,952 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$39,313 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$67,126 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$55,362 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the trader consensus at 23.8% implied probability thanks to his exceptional 2025-26 goal tally and Bundesliga success with Bayern Munich, positioning him as the frontrunner for a first Ballon d'Or. Ousmane Dembélé follows closely at 18.9% as the defending champion with continued strong contributions at PSG, while Lamine Yamal at 11.0% and Declan Rice at 10.8% benefit from standout club form and international impact that keep the field tightly bunched. Kylian Mbappé, Vitinha, and others trail but maintain realistic chances. With no single player dominating headlines in the closing weeks of the season and the 2026 World Cup looming as a potential swing factor, the competitive spread reflects balanced cases across goalscoring, midfield control, and team achievements.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,474,566
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the trader consensus at 23.8% implied probability thanks to his exceptional 2025-26 goal tally and Bundesliga success with Bayern Munich, positioning him as the frontrunner for a first Ballon d'Or. Ousmane Dembélé follows closely at 18.9% as the defending champion with continued strong contributions at PSG, while Lamine Yamal at 11.0% and Declan Rice at 10.8% benefit from standout club form and international impact that keep the field tightly bunched. Kylian Mbappé, Vitinha, and others trail but maintain realistic chances. With no single player dominating headlines in the closing weeks of the season and the 2026 World Cup looming as a potential swing factor, the competitive spread reflects balanced cases across goalscoring, midfield control, and team achievements.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,474,566
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 24%, followed by "Ousmane Dembélé" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.