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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 24.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%

Declan Rice 10.8%

Lamine Yamal 11%

Polymarket

$3,464,314 Vol.

Harry Kane 24.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%

Declan Rice 10.8%

Lamine Yamal 11%

Polymarket

$3,464,314 Vol.

Harry Kane

$716,344 Vol.

25%

Ousmane Dembélé

$402,982 Vol.

19%

Declan Rice

$54,766 Vol.

11%

Lamine Yamal

$81,475 Vol.

11%

Kylian Mbappé

$133,557 Vol.

9%

Vitinha

$50,728 Vol.

8%

Michael Olise

$88,689 Vol.

7%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$56,379 Vol.

5%

Lautaro Martinez

$25,444 Vol.

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$51,898 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$261,107 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$34,725 Vol.

1%

Vinícius Júnior

$469,994 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$279,369 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$34,343 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$26,483 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$35,272 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$25,230 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$27,936 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$39,313 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$228,150 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$217,731 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$67,119 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$55,350 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane holds the narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 24.8% implied probability, driven by his prolific scoring form for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga title push and Champions League campaign, though the club’s semifinal exit has capped momentum. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.9% after strong knockout-stage contributions for PSG, including key goals against Liverpool and Bayern that have kept the reigning winner in contention for back-to-back honors. Declan Rice, Lamine Yamal, and Michael Olise follow closely behind, reflecting a crowded field where consistent goal contributions, assists, and major competition performances have prevented any single player from pulling away decisively ahead of the season’s final weeks and the summer World Cup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,464,314
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane holds the narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 24.8% implied probability, driven by his prolific scoring form for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga title push and Champions League campaign, though the club’s semifinal exit has capped momentum. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.9% after strong knockout-stage contributions for PSG, including key goals against Liverpool and Bayern that have kept the reigning winner in contention for back-to-back honors. Declan Rice, Lamine Yamal, and Michael Olise follow closely behind, reflecting a crowded field where consistent goal contributions, assists, and major competition performances have prevented any single player from pulling away decisively ahead of the season’s final weeks and the summer World Cup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,464,314
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 25%, followed by "Ousmane Dembélé" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.