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icon for Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

icon for Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

$158,505 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$158,505 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$109,680 Vol.

4%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$48,826 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister, leading a minority Socialist (PSOE) government reliant on coalition partners like Sumar and Catalan separatists in the Congress of Deputies under proportional representation. Trader sentiment reflects stability after prosecutors sought dismissal of corruption charges against his wife Begoña Gómez in late April 2026, following her mid-April indictment for influence peddling. Recent PSOE regional setbacks in Aragón (February) linger but have not triggered a no-confidence vote or snap election, which Sánchez has ruled out. He announced re-election plans for the 2027 general election (due by August) amid active policy pushes, including legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end and banning social media for under-16s. No major parliamentary tests loom immediately.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,505
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister, leading a minority Socialist (PSOE) government reliant on coalition partners like Sumar and Catalan separatists in the Congress of Deputies under proportional representation. Trader sentiment reflects stability after prosecutors sought dismissal of corruption charges against his wife Begoña Gómez in late April 2026, following her mid-April indictment for influence peddling. Recent PSOE regional setbacks in Aragón (February) linger but have not triggered a no-confidence vote or snap election, which Sánchez has ruled out. He announced re-election plans for the 2027 general election (due by August) amid active policy pushes, including legalizing 500,000 immigrants by June's end and banning social media for under-16s. No major parliamentary tests loom immediately.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,505
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 18%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" has generated $158.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.