The Illinois 1st congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its South Side Chicago base and surrounding Cook County areas, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination without meaningful opposition in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. Historical voting patterns, a partisan voting index exceeding D+18, and limited GOP infrastructure in the district have kept Republican prospects minimal. Traders view the current pricing as consistent with these structural factors, though a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or health event involving the incumbent could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$40,238 Vol.
$40,238 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
5%
$40,238 Vol.
$40,238 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$17,649 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$22,588 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 1st congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its South Side Chicago base and surrounding Cook County areas, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination without meaningful opposition in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. Historical voting patterns, a partisan voting index exceeding D+18, and limited GOP infrastructure in the district have kept Republican prospects minimal. Traders view the current pricing as consistent with these structural factors, though a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or health event involving the incumbent could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$40,238Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 1st congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its South Side Chicago base and surrounding Cook County areas, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination without meaningful opposition in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. Historical voting patterns, a partisan voting index exceeding D+18, and limited GOP infrastructure in the district have kept Republican prospects minimal. Traders view the current pricing as consistent with these structural factors, though a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or health event involving the incumbent could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,238Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 1st congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its South Side Chicago base and surrounding Cook County areas, underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination without meaningful opposition in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. Historical voting patterns, a partisan voting index exceeding D+18, and limited GOP infrastructure in the district have kept Republican prospects minimal. Traders view the current pricing as consistent with these structural factors, though a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or health event involving the incumbent could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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