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PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Chris Rabb 100.0%

Sharif Street <1%

David Oxman <1%

Morgan Cephas <1%

Polymarket

$186,304 Vol.

Chris Rabb 100.0%

Sharif Street <1%

David Oxman <1%

Morgan Cephas <1%

Polymarket

$186,304 Vol.

Sharif Street

$30,238 Vol.

Não

David Oxman

$6,504 Vol.

Não

Morgan Cephas

$4,073 Vol.

Não

Ala Stanford

$30,607 Vol.

Não

Gabriel Caceres

$5,165 Vol.

Não

Robin Toldens

$4,699 Vol.

Não

Chris Rabb

$105,018 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chris Rabb's decisive victory in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty in this heavily Democratic seat, where the incumbent Dwight Evans opted not to seek reelection. Rabb, a five-term state representative backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus and national progressive figures, captured a plurality of votes amid competition from state Sen. Sharif Street and physician Ala Stanford, reflecting strong support from Philadelphia's activist and labor networks on issues like healthcare expansion and foreign policy. With results already called by major outlets and a clear margin established, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing minimal remaining procedural risk. Official certification or any narrow recount challenges could still shift final confirmation, though historical patterns in similar primaries show such hurdles rarely overturn frontrunner outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$186,304
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chris Rabb's decisive victory in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty in this heavily Democratic seat, where the incumbent Dwight Evans opted not to seek reelection. Rabb, a five-term state representative backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus and national progressive figures, captured a plurality of votes amid competition from state Sen. Sharif Street and physician Ala Stanford, reflecting strong support from Philadelphia's activist and labor networks on issues like healthcare expansion and foreign policy. With results already called by major outlets and a clear margin established, the market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing minimal remaining procedural risk. Official certification or any narrow recount challenges could still shift final confirmation, though historical patterns in similar primaries show such hurdles rarely overturn frontrunner outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$186,304
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 100%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $186.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Chris Rabb" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.