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Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria

Market icon

Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria

77–80% 100.0%

<65% <1%

65–68% <1%

68–71% <1%

Polymarket

$1,423,073 Vol.

77–80% 100.0%

<65% <1%

65–68% <1%

68–71% <1%

Polymarket

$1,423,073 Vol.

A participação dos eleitores será inferior a 65% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

<65%

$96,982 Vol.

Não

A participação dos eleitores será de 65–68% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

65–68%

$55,478 Vol.

Não

A participação dos eleitores será de 68–71% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

68–71%

$136,655 Vol.

Não

A participação dos eleitores será de 71–74% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

71–74%

$131,973 Vol.

Não

A participação dos eleitores será de 74–77% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

74–77%

$314,699 Vol.

Não

A participação dos eleitores será de 77–80% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

77–80%

$280,554 Vol.

Sim

A participação dos eleitores será superior a 80% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

Acima de 80%

$406,732 Vol.

Não

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election produced record voter turnout of 79.6%, as certified by near-final tallies from the National Electoral Office with 99.8% of votes counted, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 77–80% bin. Progressive updates on election day revealed unprecedented participation—74% by 5 p.m. and 77.8% by polls' close—fueled by intense mobilization in a high-stakes race where Péter Magyar's Tisza party unseated Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years, surpassing historical norms of 60–70%. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game certainty on official results; only improbable late adjustments from overseas ballots or recounts could shift odds, with none reported amid clean EU-monitored counts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,423,073
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election produced record voter turnout of 79.6%, as certified by near-final tallies from the National Electoral Office with 99.8% of votes counted, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 77–80% bin. Progressive updates on election day revealed unprecedented participation—74% by 5 p.m. and 77.8% by polls' close—fueled by intense mobilization in a high-stakes race where Péter Magyar's Tisza party unseated Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years, surpassing historical norms of 60–70%. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game certainty on official results; only improbable late adjustments from overseas ballots or recounts could shift odds, with none reported amid clean EU-monitored counts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,423,073
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "77–80%" at 100%, followed by "<65%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" is "77–80%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<65%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.